Even superforecasters are guessing that they’ll soon be obsolete.

AI agents help businesses stop guessing — linking predictions to actions so teams can move from “what might happen” to ...

For those who predict the distant future, there are two traps to avoid. One is to assume human nature will change dramatically and that people will abandon things embedded in their souls, such as ...

A fox, a hedgehog and an LLM – it sounds like the beginning of a joke, but this is in fact the introduction to a topic that is consuming the attention of Philip Tetlock, psychology professor, ...

None of us can predict the future. But with his decades of real estate experience, Robert Helms is probably someone you'll ...

Mathematicians may have a better way to measure agreement across different datasets. Agreement affects reproducibility, meta-analysis, and prediction to fill in missing data points. We need a more ...

It's impossible to predict the future, but humans can't help themselves. From the economy to the presidency to the Super Bowl, educated and intelligent people promise insight yet repeatedly fail by ...

Farm income is projected to stagnate through 2030, with federal aid and trade uncertainty shaping the future for U.S. farmers and ranchers, according to University of Missouri economist Pat Westhoff.

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. author of Chained to the Desk in a Hybrid World: A Guide to Balance. This voice experience is generated by AI. Learn more. This ...

Your friend says to you: "I bet you $100 that in 2016 a Democrat will be elected as president of the USA." Would you take such a wager? Why or why not? You might think gambling is wrong. You might ...